LSU
W-L: (29- 6) PR = 98.1905Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) **-55 1106 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) **-26 1109 A Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) **-70 1112 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) **-59 1117 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) **-71 1120 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) **-49 1128 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) **-53 1129 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) **-35 1204 A Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 93-77 1207 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) **-62 1213 A La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 87-61 1216 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 91-33 1221 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) **-45 1228 A Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) **-41 101 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 78-80 104 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 61-65 108 A Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 80-59 111 A Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 70-65 118 A Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 91-72 122 A Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 98-54 126 A Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 89-60 129 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 92-70 201 A Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) **-63 205 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 64-77 208 A Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 77-44 214 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 72-79 219 A Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 78-70 222 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) **-55 226 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 89-73 301 A Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 72-63 306 A Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) **-78 307 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 77-83 320 A Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) **-58 322 A Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) **-47 327 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 85-87
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Houston Chr **-55 53 6 0.00
1106 A Soea LA **-26 89 7 0.00
1109 A Georgia So **-70 48 3 0.00
1112 A Charlotte **-59 58 4 0.00
1117 A Tulane **-71 30 5 0.00
1120 A Alcorn St **-49 63 6 0.00
1128 A Marist **-53 60 6 0.00
1129 A Wash St **-35 77 5 0.00
1204 A Duke 93-77 16 1 1.41
1207 A New Orleans **-62 64 7 0.00
1213 A La Tech 87-61 26 3 0.00
1216 A Morgan State 91-33 58 7 0.00
1221 A UT Arlington **-45 65 5 0.00
1228 A Alabama St **-41 68 6 0.00
101 H Kentucky 78-80 -2 1 - -2.91
104 H Vanderbilt 61-65 -4 0 - -2.15
108 A Georgia 80-59 21 1 0.59
111 A Texas 70-65 5 -1 + 2.91
118 A Oklahoma 91-72 19 0 1.57
122 A Texas A&M 98-54 44 2 0.14
126 A Florida 89-60 29 2 0.00
129 A Arkansas 92-70 22 3 0.00
201 A Alabama **-63 40 1 0.95
205 H Texas 64-77 -13 -1 -1.11
208 A Auburn 77-44 33 3 0.00
214 H So Carolina 72-79 -7 -1 -1.04
219 A Ole Miss 78-70 8 1 0.89
222 A Missouri **-55 53 3 0.00
226 A Tennessee 89-73 16 2 0.38
301 A Miss St 72-63 9 2 0.00
306 A Oklahoma **-78 34 0 1.57
307 H So Carolina 77-83 -6 -1 -1.04
320 A Jacksonville **-58 58 4 0.00
322 A Texas Tech **-47 54 2 0.41
327 H Duke 85-87 -2 1 - -2.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 H Kentucky 78-80 -2 1 - -2.91 104 H Vanderbilt 61-65 -4 0 - -2.15 327 H Duke 85-87 -2 1 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 111 A Texas 70-65 5 -1 + 2.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) **-55 -8.17 2.79 0.01 0.87 4.85
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) **-26 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.87 4.18
3 A Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) **-70 -4.64 6.32 0.01 0.87 10.97
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) **-59 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.87 9.36
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) **-71 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.87 7.99
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) **-49 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.87 6.20
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) **-53 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.87 5.50
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) **-35 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.87 8.08
3 A Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 93-77 -2.30 8.66 0.01 0.87 15.03
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) **-62 -8.97 1.99 0.01 0.87 3.47
3 A La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 87-61 -4.82 6.14 0.01 0.87 10.66
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 91-33 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.87 3.38
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) **-45 -6.75 4.21 0.01 0.87 7.33
3 A Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) **-41 -7.24 3.72 0.01 0.87 6.46
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 78-80 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 0.87 -1.13
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 61-65 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.87 -0.81
3 A Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 80-59 -3.13 7.83 0.01 0.87 13.60
3 A Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 70-65 -0.81 10.15 0.01 0.87 17.62
3 A Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 91-72 -2.14 8.82 0.01 0.87 15.30
3 A Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 98-54 -3.58 7.38 0.01 0.87 12.82
3 A Florida (18-15, 95.8) 89-60 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.87 11.89
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 92-70 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.87 10.08
3 A Alabama (24-11, 97.1) **-63 -2.77 8.19 0.01 0.87 14.22
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 64-77 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.87 -0.35
3 A Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 77-44 -4.29 6.67 0.01 0.87 11.58
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 72-79 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.87 -0.32
3 A Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 78-70 -2.82 8.14 0.01 0.87 14.13
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) **-55 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.87 11.61
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 89-73 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.87 13.23
3 A Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 72-63 -3.94 7.02 0.01 0.87 12.20
3 A Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) **-78 -2.14 8.82 0.01 0.87 15.30
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 77-83 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.87 -0.32
3 A Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) **-58 -5.32 5.64 0.01 0.87 9.80
3 A Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) **-47 -3.31 7.65 0.01 0.87 13.28
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 85-87 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.87 -1.00
------
296.20
|
winning pts = 300.1482 losing points = -3.9470
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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